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CYT . . . Cytec Industries Inc . . . is a Former Long Position in Professor Profit's Portfolio . . .

Former Long Position - CYT

Step numbers referenced below are referring to Tutorial Steps.
If you need help with terminology refer back to that Step of the Tutorial or the FAQs associated with that Step.

We added this one to the portfolio because we like the looks of both the Configuration and Action History charts, and it has a nice moderate Risk Corridor. At the time of purchase, it is our thought that if CYT breaks through $40, the rest is easy. 

Action 1) - 5/23/04:

Step #1 - NYSE registers a Stage 3 - Bull Market.

Step #3 - CYT flashes a Buy Configuration Signal (click on Configuration Chart, to the right). We execute the Buy. Initial Sell-Stop is established off the valley-bottom resistance points which are below the 30wk moving average. Risk Corridor is a moderate 13.4% (see Action History Chart, below).

Action 2) - 8/8/04:

Step #4 - The hilltop of 7/16/04 is confirmed by the third subsequent decrease in closing price as of 8/6/04. This hilltop has provided us forced recognition that the $37+ closes of 5/14/04 and 5/21/04 represented the most recent valley-bottom. Thus, the adjustment of the Sell-stop level to $37.

Action 3) - 9/5/04:

Step #4 - A valley-bottom at 8/13/04 is confirmed as the third subsequent increase in price which occurs as of market close on 9/3/04. Since the 8/13 valley-bottom is above the 30wk moving average, we adjust the Sell-Stop to the 30wk level at $40. From this point forward, Sell-Stops are adjusted upward in $1 increments in tandem with the 30wk (see Action History Chart, below).

Actions 4) through 6):

Step #4 - Sell-Stop adjustments in tandem with the 30wk moving average (see Action History Chart, below):

4) 9/19/04: 30wk = $41.39 rounded down to $41
5) 10/3/04: 30wk = $42.22 rounded down to $42
6) 10/17/04: 30wk = $43.12 rounded down to $43

Action 7) - 10/24/04:

Step #1 - NYSE registers a Stage 2 - Uncertain Market

CYTsellArchive.gif (35874 bytes)Step #2 - CYT flashes a Sell Configuration Signal as the 5wk moving average passes downward through the 15wk, indicating it is too risky to continue to hold (click on Configuration Chart, to the right). We execute a Sell on our entire position. The transaction provides for a 21.4% gain which is equivalent to a 50.8% Annualized Rate of Return.


 


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