Former Long Position - ORCL
Step numbers referenced below are referring to
Tutorial Steps.
If you need help with terminology refer back to that Step of the Tutorial or the
FAQs associated with that Step.
We added ORCL to the portfolio because we like the looks of both
the Configuration and Action History charts. Granted, the Risk Corridor is on
the upper end of our tolerance range, but the upside to the historic high ($45+ in
August, 2000) is over 250%. In addition, they offer a strong product. Unfortunately,
the ORCL stock configuration was not strong enough to withstand the NASDAQ Bear
Market signal of May 22, 2005.
Action 1) - 10/31/04:
Step #1 - NASDAQ registers a Stage 2 - Uncertain [but possibly the 1st sign of a new Bull] Market.
Step #3 -
ORCL flashes a Buy Configuration Signal
(click on Configuration
Chart, to the right). We execute the Buy. Initial Sell-Stop is established off the
valley-bottom resistance points which are below the 30wk moving average. Risk
Corridor is a lofty 26.2% (see Action History Chart, below).
Action 2) - 5/22/05:
Step #1 - NASDAQ registers a Stage 5 - Bear Market
Step
#2 - ORCL flashes a Sell Configuration Signal indicating it is too risky
to continue to hold (click on Configuration
Chart, to the right). We execute a Sell on our entire position. The
transaction provides for a 0.9% loss.

|